We are
inching ever closer to self-driving vehicles becoming a reality. Google has
already performed several road tests with prototype models, and the results
have been more or less positive. But is the world actually ready for this new
phenomenon?
The notion of
a car that operates autonomously is attractive to many. On the plus side, they
may help to decrease the number of auto accidents through their smart driving
technology. In addition, they could prove to be more cost-effective and convenient.
However, simply making them “smart” may not be the answer.
In an article published on Wired.com, Andrew NG, chief scientist for Baidu, a company
that is currently developing their own autonomous vehicle model, presents an
interesting argument. He states that the best method of making self-driving
vehicles safer is to avoid having them act like their human-powered equivalents.
Rather, the best practice lies in ensuring that they rely on predictive
technology to function.
Operating a
vehicle is all about the driver’s power of observation. In driving school, we
are taught the OEA – Observe, Evaluate, Act – system which helps us to react
appropriately to different situations we might encounter while on the road. When
an obstacle appears, such as a stalled vehicle or a people running across the
street, a human driver can easily rely on their instinct and common sense to
identify the issue, and then react in a safe manner.
If you
remove the human driver from the equation, the situation changes significantly.
A car that is simply programmed to drive and stop may have difficulty processing
occurrences like these. Ng argues that today’s computers lack the programming
to deal with these issues, and as such, may do more harm than good.
Despite that,
there are some advantages to owning a self-driving vehicle. For example, Ng
indicates that they can be designed to have full 360-degree awareness, thus
eliminating the problem of blind spots, and they will never face distracted
driving issues. Thousands of lives are lost per year due to accidents caused by
drunk or distracted drivers, and autonomous vehicles will certainly decrease
the number of road accidents.
Predictive
data and analytics have been instrumental in helping many companies in the tech
space resolve rampant errors or security breaches. The same kind of system can
help self-driving vehicles to properly function on our roads. Ng states if the
vehicle encounters certain road signs or lane markings on the pavement, it
should be able to properly address the situation be recalibrating its speed or
remaining in its lane, for example.
So, to
answer the question mentioned in the beginning, is the world truly ready for
self-driving vehicles? The answer is yes. However, before these mechanical
marvels make their official debut, extensive research and development must be conducted
to ensure that these vehicles are not only safe, but are programmed to be as
predictable as possible.
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